Over last weekend, as one year passed and another began, I embarked on my annual tradition of drinking hot chocolate and spending some time thumbing (and scrolling) through a variety of “best (and worst) of” and “year in review” compilations. While most lists had absolutely nothing to do with work, at least one did:
Lucy Bernholz, author of the highly regarded, very insightful Philanthropy 2173 blog and founder and president of Blueprint Research and Design, looked back at how her predictions for the previous decade in philanthropy fared (1999-2009) and outlined what she thinks the next 10 years will bring.
Titled “Ten for the Next 10: 2010 – 2020,” her Philanthropy 2173 blog post has also been cross posted on the Stanford Social Innovation Review blog.
Here’s a summary of what Bernholz describes as her “premonitions on what will become familiar in philanthropy in the decade to come”:
- By 2020, philanthropy in the U.S. and trans-nationally is going to be operating under fundamentally different rules (laws and regulations).
- There will be more spend-down foundations.
- Foundations, philanthropists and change-making organizations will be using gaming and game pedagogy to address all types of issues.
- Disaster relief giving will be more structured and planned.
- Impact investing will surpass philanthropy.
- Institutional philanthropy will be more collaborative.
- Program people who can use data, make sense of it, and help foundation’s communicate their own data through analysis and visualization will be key going forward.
- Most of the foundations that exist today will exist in 2020, as will an amazing percentage of today’s nonprofits.
- Mobile phones will replace credit card donations.
- By 2020, we’ll have given up our misconception that “scale = big” and instead be focused on “scale = networked.” We will have recognized that problems get solved through “small pieces loosely coupled.”
Join the conversation on this blog or Bernholz’s: What do you think will happen by 2020? What will philanthropy look like? What can we barely imagine today that will be commonplace by then?
- Chris Murakami Noonan, MCF communications associate
Posted by Chris Noonan 

